BEST BET for November 5th, 2025

🏒 NHL Best Bets

#1 Toronto Maple Leafs -150 vs. Utah Mammoth
📍 Toronto | Scotiabank Arena | 7:00 PM ET
Expected Value: +2.4%
Why: Leafs are home favorites at -150 with a rest advantage as Utah plays on a back-to-back after their Tuesday game in Buffalo. Toronto should be the fresher team and pull away late.

#2 Washington Capitals -145 vs. St. Louis Blues
📍 Washington | Capital One Arena | 7:30 PM ET
Expected Value: +1.9%
Why: Capitals are 6-5 at home against a struggling Blues team that's 4-7 and 2-4 on the road this season.

#3 Columbus Blue Jackets EVEN @ Calgary Flames
📍 Calgary | Scotiabank Saddledome | 9:30 PM ET
Expected Value: +1.7%
Why: Blue Jackets (7-5) getting even money odds against the league's worst team, Calgary Flames (3-9).

🏀 NBA Best Bets

#4 Houston Rockets -7.5 vs. Memphis Grizzlies
📍 Houston | Toyota Center | 8:00 PM ET
Expected Value: +2.7%
Why: Grizzlies dealing with injuries and locker room turmoil, playing third game in four nights with major rest disadvantage. Line moved from -6.5 to -7.5 on sharp money.

#5 Sacramento Kings -2.5 vs. Golden State Warriors
📍 Sacramento | Golden 1 Center | 10:00 PM ET
Expected Value: +2.2%
Why: Steph Curry listed as questionable/out, causing a 5.5-point line move. Warriors in schedule-loss spot after tough East Coast road trip where they lost to depleted Bucks and Pacers.

🚫 Avoid Today

• Philadelphia 76ers +9.5 @ Cavaliers (-1.8% EV) - Cavs rolling, 76ers still dealing with Joel Embiid minutes restriction

• Utah Jazz +10.5 @ Pistons (-1.5% EV) - Too many points to give struggling Jazz

Bankroll Management: Stick to 1-2% of bankroll per bet. Focus on bets with +1.5% EV or higher for optimal long-term results.

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